A frequent question I get asked is “how do I prepare against black swans?” Ever since Nassin Nicholas Taleb’s “The Black Swan,” this is a topic that comes up frequently in risk management discussions. However, though these events are important to consider a much more relevant (to most companies) question to ask is, “how do
Is Enron Overpriced? In March 2001, FORTUNE pointed out that Enron’s financial statements were nearly impenetrable. January 19, 2006: 11:34 AM EST EDITOR’S NOTE – Remember when it seemed outrageous to suggest that Enron shouldn’t be the golden child of Wall Street? Before the congressional hearings, before Arthur Andersen was indicted, before the SEC and
At the forefront of the SC quant world today is the creation of new ways of thinking about SC risk that go beyond the protection of physical assets, which has long been the principal focus of practices such as Business Continuity Planning (BCP). One of the goals of this new approach is to facilitate the
Fascinating new interactive graft from James Mintz Group: http://www.fcpamap.com/ Now we know where it’s all going….
US Senator Carl Levin recently sounded the alarm bell about “sprinkling,” which is the practice of mixing counterfeit parts with real ones. An excerpt from the AP article on the Senate hearing is below: The committee’s ongoing investigation found about 1,800 cases of suspect counterfeit electronics being sold to the Pentagon. The total number of
The Nov 8th issue of Energy Risk has an interesting commentary by Stella Farrington noting the 10th anniversary of the Enron collapse. Perhaps the most interesting point she makes is the following: “Almost without exception Enron employees said it was the best place they have ever worked before or since and talked of achieving more
Link to my 2010 paper on applying finance and risk to SCM:X-SCM SC Risk Engineering Chapter_Alvarenga_2010
A link to my 2010 paper on the case for outsourcing supply chain analytics: Alvarenga_SCM Outsourcing_2010.
Read a piece this morning in Le Monde (http://abonnes.lemonde.fr/idees/article/2011/11/17/un-delitement-politique_1605382_3232.html) by the French philosopher Yves Charles Zarka. He writes about the failure of the governments in the EU to lead during the current crisis and notes that Europe stands at a moment of profound crisis. This is not a new idea, of course, but it is interesting
The FT has an interesting piece today on the UN’s prediction of serious weather volatility (http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/993fd13a-11e0-11e1-9d4d-00144feabdc0.html#axzz1eG78urFA). I was speaking to a friend in Shanghai this week who is an exec in steel and he says that future energy costs in China are his #1 worry. China is now the single largest market for him, and